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The Winners and Losers of Summer 2019 - Part 2: June

The Winners and Losers of Summer 2019 - Part 2: June

This article is a box office analysis on most of the films that were released this summer. The quality of said films will not be a factor. A movie might have been critically lauded yet still receive a failing score here because nobody showed up in the theaters to see it. There are many factors that come into play that determine whether a film is successful or not. There's the budget, marketing costs,  differences in distributions of money in all of the various countries, product placement and all sorts of other expenses that I don't have the time to get into. For the sake of this article I'm going to simplify the system and say that if a film earns around three times its budget; it's successful. I know this isn't an exact science, but if you do the math, you'd find yourself in the same ball-park, barring a few rare exceptions. 

I will also be tallying up a score for how many wins and losses each studio has had each month, so look for that along with an overall score for the month at the bottom.


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The Secret Life of Pets 2 (Universal)
Box Office: $401 million
Budget: $80

I’m known for frequently lamenting the undeserved success of all of Illumination Entertainment’s animated endeavors, and it looks like the pendulum is finally beginning to swing in my favor, though The Secret Life of Pets 2 is still a moderate success. Thanks to an economic budget of $80 million, The Secret Life of Pets $401 million global box office total doesn’t look that bad, that is, until you compare it to the fact that it didn’t even muster half of what the original film did.

Result: Pass


Dark Phoenix (Fox)
Box Office: $252 million
Budget: $200 million

Perhaps the biggest, or at least most publicized bomb of the summer, was indisputably Dark Phoenix. This film was projected to at least cross $100 million at the domestic box office, and wasn’t even able to come close to that. The film only grossed $65 million domestically and $252 million worldwide, conclusively hammering the final nail on the Fox X-Men franchise before the reins were handed, or rather, dropped, at Disney’s feet.

Result: Fail


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Men In Black: International (Sony)
Box Office: $253 million
Budget: $110 million

This one performed very similarly to Dark Phoenix, but cost around half, thus making this one a near break-even situation, but still a definite disappointment. Men In Black: International cost a reasonable $110 million, and only made $253 million globally, it probably would have needed at least $50 million more to be deemed a success, so, for now, it gets a fail.

Result: Fail


Shaft (WB)
Box Office: $21 million
Budget: $30-35 million

Sheesh, this month is not off to a great start. Shaft, a sequel I don’t think anyone was really pining for, got an equally unenthusiastic box office take. The film only grossed $21 million domestically (no global number have been reported, so who knows there), which is not nearly enough to compensate for its reported $30-35 million budget.

Result: Fail


The Dead Don’t Die (Focus)
Box Office: $13 million
Budget: Not Reported

This is a tricky one to judge, mainly because there’s no reported budget. Despite no budget, though, this is Jim Jarmusch’s highest grossing movie, granted, he is a indie film-maker through-and-through and none of his movies make much at all, but I think just for the fun of it, I’m going to give this one a slight pass even though I have no knowledge of how much money was pumped into it.

Result: Pass


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Toy Story 4 (Disney)
Box Office: $1.01 billion
Budget: $200 million

Disney strikes again, a narrative that will be repeated throughout the rest of the summer. Toy Story 4 grossed a huge $1.01 million globally, and it’s still going! This is about on-par with Toy Story 3. The film, which cost $200 million nearly quintupled its budget and is one of the biggest successes of the year.

Result: Pass (Duh!)


Child’s Play (UAR)
Box Office: $30 million
Budget: $10 million

This horror reboot of the same name scraped by by the skin of its teeth. Child’s Play grossed $30 million against a $10 million budget, successfully tripling its budget, but only barely. The film should be fine in the end with its digital/physical release hitting before Halloween.

Result: Pass


Anna (Lionsgate)
Box Office: $26 million
Budget: $30 million

The latest action flick from Luc Besson didn’t light the world on fire, not by a long shot. The film, which cost a reasonable $30 million, only managed to make $26 million at the global box office. While a 3x multiplier would have guaranteed success, I think this one would have been fine had it made $70 million, which it was still nowhere close to.

Result: Fail


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Annabelle Comes Home (WB)
Box Office: $221 million
Budget: $27-32 million

The third film in the Annabelle spin-off series didn’t do quite as well as its predecessors, but the two films preceding it were monster hits made on a shoe-string budget. This one cost a little more and made a little less, but it still made $221 million at the global box office against a budget of $27-32 million, so it’s still a resounding success. It may be a while until Annabelle 4 comes along, but for now, this is a nice bow on top of a hugely successful series.

Result: Pass


Yesterday (Universal)
Box Office: $129 million
Budget: $26 million

And June continues to rebound with the light comedy/musical, Yesterday. The film cost $26 million (10 million of which was devoted solely to getting the right to the Beatles song catalog), and grossed $129 million worldwide for a tidy 4x multiplier.

Result: Pass


June Scorecard

Disney: Win - 1, Loss - 0
Universal: Win - 2, Loss - 0
WB: Win - 1, Loss - 1
Sony: Win - 0, Loss - 1
Paramount: Win - 0, Loss - 0
Fox: Win - 0, Loss - 1
Lionsgate: Win - 0, Loss - 1
UAR: Win - 1, Loss - 0
STX: Win - 0, Loss - 0

Junes’s Total:
Wins: 5
Loss: 4

Source: Box Office Mojo

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