Box Office Predictions - 'Spider-man: Into the Spider-Verse', 'The Mule' and 'Mortal Engines'
So…I’m sort of cheating this time but not really. I peaked at the projections for this weekend and have a pretty good idea about how things could pan out. That said, I’m going to try and keep it interesting by making bolder claims than I normally do…but not too bold. Spider-man: Into the Spider-Verse looks like it will easily swoop in and take the crown, but how much will it make? Could this one break out? The bigger questions to be answered are how well Clint Eastwood’s The Mule will do, and how hard will Mortal Engines bomb?
Spider-man: Into the Spider-Verse (Sony)
Spider-man has been riding some seriously high buzz as it currently rocks a stellar Rotten Tomatoes score of 97%!!! I just saw the movie and I can attest to it’s brilliance and think it deserves all of the good will. I think Spider-man: Into the Spider-verse has the potential to break out in a big way, bigger than people are saying based off of early tracking and pre-release ticket sales. Most people have this film at $35 million and up. Since I cheated this week, I’m going to predict that it makes upwards of $45 million. No, I’m not intentionally shooting myself in the foot, I’m just betting that word-of-mouth spreads like wildfire and gets this movie higher up the totem pole by Sunday.
Prediction: $45 million
The Mule (WB)
Clint Eastwood’s latest drama, The Mule, has been promoted pretty significantly, though I really haven’t been following the film all that closely because for some reason the subject matter doesn’t interest me. That said, most Clint Eastwood films tend to do decent business at the box office and he certainly has a fan-base that reliably shows up for most of his movies. The Mule’s not going to break out like American Sniper or Sully, but I think it’ll get a decent amount of attention. I predict The Mule will make around $14 million for the weekend.
Prediction: $14 million
Mortal Engines (Universal)
This one hurts. I was pulling for this film ever since it was announced because for one, I love me some Peter Jackson and two, the dystopian steampunk world looks like a fun playground for all sorts of imaginative creations. Well, I had fun with the film even if I didn’t think it was spectacular (it certainly isn’t deserving of its 28% RT score, but whatever). This movie will likely bomb. HARD. The production cost upwards of $100 million (it looks more expensive than that) and I’m thinking it might only muster around $12 million this weekend.
Prediction: $12 million