Box Office Predictions - 'First Man', 'Goosebumps 2' and 'Bad Times at the El Royale'
It’s shaping up to be another big weekend at the box office as three new wide releases make there way into theaters. First Man seems like the favorite pick and will probably win out among the new comers, but isn’t as likely to take the top spot, that honor will likely go to either Venom or A Star is Born. Then we have Goosebumps 2, which should make a decent chunk of change, and finally there’s Drew Goddard’s Bad Times at the El Royale, which is a bit of a wild card.
Damien Chazelle keeps upping the scale of his films and still seems to be incapable of making a bad film. That said, I don’t feel like First Man is on too many peoples’ “must see on opening weekend list”, it’s more of a “I’ll get around to it while it’s still in theaters or maybe around award season” type of film. Still, I think there’s just enough excitement and intrigue in this project that it will avert a bad opening. Look for First Man to land in the $23-25 million range. Also, First Man is pretty much a shoe-in for a best picture nomination, and thus, should have some pretty decent legs going forward.
Prediction: $25 million
Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween
Is it just me, or does this look like cheap carbon-copy of the first film? I mean, it’s got all of the same monsters, but the production values don’t seem as high as they were before. I also wish they would stop throwing everything-and-the-kitchen-sink into these movies and focus on one Goosebumps book at a time, but hey, that’s just me. Either way, I just don’t see this film doing that well, especially since The House with a Clock in its Walls basically just came out and was marketed towards the exact same crowd. I predict Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween brings in $10-12 million and fizzles out after Halloween.
Prediction: $12 million
Bad Times at the El Royale
Just like Drew Goddard’s previous feature, Cabin in the Woods, I think Bad Times will have a lukewarm opening, but still manage to do all right when all is said and done. The film is garnering decent reviews and all of the trailers I’ve seen have ensured that it stays on my “must-see” list. So maybe I’m being too optimistic, but I think this film will pull in around $12-14 million.