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Box Office Predictions - 'Pirates of the Caribbean 5' and 'Baywatch'

Box Office Predictions - 'Pirates of the Caribbean 5' and 'Baywatch'

two new films compete for box office domination this weekend, and due to a lull in the past couple of weeks they each have a decent shot at breaking out. The contenders this week are Disney's somewhat anticipated Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, and the re-imagined Baywatch film led by the infallible Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson.


Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (Disney)
Box Office: $60 million

I honestly can't gauge how much excitement there is for this film. The previews honestly looked pretty good and I think that helped drum up a bit of interest for the film. That said, this series has been on a downward spiral since At World's End came out and the last film, On Stranger Tides was a forgettable bore-fest. It's been five years since the last film, so audiences seem to be willing to give this new one a chance even though the reviews remain in the gallows. By my estimation the opening for Dead Men Tell No Tales should still be a far-cry from the opening of Tides, but will be decent enough to mark it as a success. My guess is that this new one comes in with $60 million for the Monday-Sunday frame, not including Memorial day.


Baywatch (Paramount)
Box Office: $27 million

Paramount has had a pretty disastrous couple of years. This year alone saw a handful of their potential blockbusters flop domestically such as: Monster Trucks, Ghost in the Shell, Rings and xXx: The Return of Xander Cage. Baywatch should be able to mitigate some of these losses based off brand recognition and star power alone. Turning Baywatch into a 21 Jump Street-esque action comedy is a pretty smart idea, even if reviews are currently in the gutter. I think audiences are in the mood for a comedy and it should counter-program nicely. For the three-day weekend I expect Baywatch to bring in $27 million.

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