Box Office Predictions - 'Get Out', 'Rock Dog' and 'Collide'
There's no doubt in my mind that this is going to be a very one-sided weekend at the box office. Jordan Peele's Get Out is garnering exceptional reviews and buzz so it's easily going to reign supreme over the other new-comers; Rock Dog and Collide, both of which I had no knowledge of even existing until a week ago.
Get Out (Universal)
Prediction: $30 million
I think Get Out could be a nearly Split-level hit and I'm thinking it has a shot at $30 million this weekend. I know this is a bold prediction, but after seeing that Get Out continues to hold a 100% score on Rotten Tomatoes with a whopping 100 reviews counted so far I'm thoroughly convinced that there's going to be a snow-ball effect with interest in this film. It is unprecedented that a horror film has been liked this unanimously by critics. The film has also had a solid marketing campaign to drum-up interest. With a budget that's rumored to be around the $5 million mark, this is already a slam-dunk. If Get Out hits my prediction of $30 million, look for it to stick around for a while and maybe have a shot at $90 million by the time it's through.
Rock Dog (Lionsgate)
Prediction: $4 million
This looks to be another throw-away animated movie in the vein of last year's Norm of the North. The animation looks pretty awful and while it doesn't seem quite as bad as Norm of the North, kids and families are already far too occupied with The Lego Batman Movie. Rock Dog doesn't have much of a chance at all of standing out from the crowd this weekend, but I'm still going to guess that Rock Dog makes it to at least $4 million this weekend, and maybe drums up $12 million before it leaves theaters.
Collide (Open Road Films)
Prediction: $2.5 million
There is no chance at all that this film makes a good amount of money. I have seen virtually nothing in the form of promotions for Collide and what I have seen doesn't look all that great and certainly doesn't look good enough to drop money on. My prediction for Collide is $2.5 million and a grand total of $5 million for its entire theatrical run.
That does it for this weekend's predictions! Check back in on Monday to see how it all played out.