Box Office Predictions - 'Deepwater Horizon', 'Miss Peregrine's Home For Peculiar Children' and 'Masterminds'
Three new wide releases hit the market this week, and I'm on a bit of a losing streak. Deepwater Horizon and Miss Peregrine's Home For Peculiar Children are the two that could potentially take number one this week, though I think The Magnificent Seven still might be in play for at least second place. Let's get down to it:
Deepwater Horizon (Lionsgate)
Prediction: $26 million
Deepwater Horizon is directed by Peter Berg and stars Mark Wahlberg, they previously worked together on the successful film, The Lone Survivor, which was based off of a true story. Deepwater Horizon is also based off of a true story, and looks to be quite the cinematic portrayal of the infamous disaster..
It's hard to say how this film will perform. I'm inclined to think that it will do pretty well this weekend as Mark Wahlberg has a pretty sizable following and the reviews are mostly positive. I think Deepwater Horizon has a decent shot at making around $26 million this weekend.
Miss Peregrine's Home For Peculiar Children (Fox)
Prediction: $17 million
This one is tough to predict. Tim Burton films; especially fantastical ones like this, used to be able to draw in the crowds, but times have changed. Dark Shadows, his last big-budget endeavor didn't do too well at the box office ($79 million), and all of his films since then have performed on the modest side. Miss Peregrine's Home For Peculiar Children looks more accessible as it takes a bit of an X-Men-as-seen-through-Burton's-Eyes approach, but I still don't think it's been able to drum up much buzz.
At a budget of $110 million; a film like this should be making around $40 million opening weekend. I don't think this is going to make even half of that in it's opening weekend, which is troubling. I do think there is an audience for this film, though, and it might make it to $20 million; but I'm going to err on the lower side with a prediction in the high-teens.
Prediction: $9 million
I didn't know this film was coming out this soon, which I'm going to take as an indicator that this film hasn't been marketed all that much. That being said; it's got a pretty big cast and looks like it could be fun, and should serve as a bit of counter-programming to the vastly different film coming out this weekend. I don't have much more to go on other than the fact that it has no reviews in yet, which is usually an indicator that it might not be the greatest film. I'm taking a shot in the dark with $9 million for the weekend for Masterminds.
Check back in on Monday to see how the films performed, and if I got any of my predictions right this weekend.
Source: Box Office Mojo