Box Office Results - 'Jason Bourne', 'Bad Moms' and 'Nerve'
Not to be cocky, but I think I'm getting better at this. I was close on two and nearly right-on-target for one of them. Now that I've got a few under my belt it seems as good a time as any to start keeping track. I'll score my total wins, losses and bullseyes at the bottom and tally 'em up at the end of the year. Yes I know, another thing that's probably more fun for me than it is for you all, but hey, I'm not getting paid for this...yet.
First up is this week's big release, 'Jason Bourne', which struck a bit harder than I anticipated with a grand total of $59 million for the weekend. I barely get a pass on this one as I was $6 million off, exactly 10% away from the number. Still, a win is a win. I'm happy that this did well, even though I heard it wasn't as good as the other three Damon-starring Bourne films. Universal has been low on hits this year with only 'Secret Life of Pets' to brag about.
Next we have 'Big Moms' which I was the most uncertain about this weekend and ended up very nearly right on the money. I know I got lucky, but I'm going to take it for what it is, a massive ego-boosting win. 'Big Moms' made just a hair under $24 million. What was my guess? Oh yeah, $25 million. Still not a bullseye, but verrrry close. This is good for STX Entertainment which is just starting to prove itself as a potentially successful production company.
'Nerve' struck a bit of a nerve (sorry) and launched to about $10 million. Another win for me as I guessed $11 million for the weekend. I just figured out that this film was actually released on Wednesday. I then realized this essentially saved my prediction. 'Nerve' could have potentially reached $14 or $15 million; rendering my prediction a miss. Thanks, Lionsgate!
Just as these box office results were good news for me; it was also good news for all the new releases this week. 'Jason Bourne' cost a reasonable $120 million to produce excluding P&A, so that $60 million opening has already accounted for half and that's not factoring in what it made overseas. This film should be in the black once all is said and done unless it completely collapses when 'Suicide Squad' blasts it's way into theaters next weekend.
'Bad Moms' did very respectable business with $24 million off a $20 million budget, and it's likely to hold up very well with no direct competition to be seen for quite some time. 'Nerve' isn't reporting a budget but it's like not much more than $15 million; a number which it has already passed.
In terms of holdover news 'Star Trek Beyond' tumbled an unfortunate 58% to around $24 million. It did pass the century mark ($106 million) but I don't see it getting much further than a buck-fifty. In addition to this it'll have to do well overseas to justify that recently-announced sequel. The film will still get made though if J.J. Abrams wills it, according to him the script for the fourth is the best they've had to work with yet. I honestly don't think the franchise is in any sort of danger, it already seems like there's more buzz for the fourth one than the third ever had.
'Secret Life of Pets' is performing just like the 'Despicable'/'Minions' franchise and having enormous legs. The pic only dropped 36% this week, grabbing another $19 million. 'Pet's currently stands at $297 million and will top $300 in the next couple of days. 'Ice Age: Collision Course' lost almost half of it's audience, bringing in $11 million for a disappointing total so far of: $42.5 million. 'Lights Out' held up very well for a horror film, losing half of its audience and managing to keep up with 'Ice Age'. The micro-budget horror pic only cost $5 million to produce! Franchise, anyone?
Catch me back in a couple of days when I predict the opening weekend of the hotly anticipated 'Suicide Squad'.
Written by Rhys Paine on 8/2/2016