Box Office Predictions - 'Arrival', 'Almost Christmas' and 'Shut In'
I know, I know, I'm waayy late this week. The site was down so I wasn't able to work on anything for a few days, but here we are and I would rather do one of these late than not do one at all. This week sees the release of Denis Villeneuve's anticipated science fiction drama Arrival, along with the comedy Almost Christmas and the Naomi Watts-starring thriller, Shut In.
Prediction: $25 million
I feel like this film could surprise people. There's always that one ambitious sci-fi film that comes out each year that surprises and makes some serious bank. And no, I'm not talking about Star Wars. Think Gravity, Interstellar or The Martian, all of which made serious chunks of change when they came out in their respective Fall-Winter seasons. I believe Arrival will perform in a similar manner, only on a smaller scale. This films not going to have a gargantuan opening like those three films did, but I believe its opening will be good and it will stick around for weeks and weeks and more people talk about it.
I'm going to predict that Arrival makes it to $25 million, and I know this is a long shot, but I'm also going to predict that its chugs its way to $100 million by the end of its run.
Almost Christmas (Universal)
Prediction: $10 million
I literally have no idea in the world how this film will perform this weekend. I guess this will be another one of my always successful stabs in the dark. Almost Christmas is a Christmas-themed comedy releasing a little over a month before Christmas. This is a release that is clearly timed to capitalize off of people that are gearing up for Thanksgiving and the Holidays, so it's going to rope in some viewers no matter its quality. The film's not going to be huge but it will most certainly play well to African American audiences and others that are in the mood for a light, Christmas-themed comedy. My prediction for Almost Christmas is $10 million.
Shut In (EuropaCorp)
Prediction: $4 million
Here's another film that I haven't heard much on at all. Shut In is a thriller starring Naomi Watts who plays a mother caring for her child in their home during a deadly storm who then believes there might be an intruder inside. I'm getting a The Darkness vibe from this film. Don't know what I'm talking about? I don't blame you. The Darkness was a horror film starring Kevin Bacon that failed to make waves during the beginning of summer and opened to almost $5 million. I'm thinking this will be similar, only Shut In doesn't have the added benefit of opening when kids are out of school. My prediction for Shut In is $4 million for the weekend, but I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't even make it that high.
That wraps up this weekend's predictions, sorry it was so late! Tune back in on Monday to find out how close I was.