Box Office Results - 'The Girl on the Train', 'The Birth of a Nation' and 'Middle School'
Well, at least I got one this week. The Girl on the Train definitely performed higher than I was expecting this week. I also wasn't expecting The Birth of a Nation to come in as low as it did, I guess the controversy surrounding it really did bog it down a bit. It's funny that Middle School, the film I knew the least about, was the one I ended up predicting correctly.
The Girl on the Train (Universal)
Predicted: $14 million
Actual: $24.5 million
Well, that's embarrassing...I guess I should have taken the book crowd a little more seriously, I mean, these fans-of-the-book have made many films massive successes in the past and faithfully showed up to see if The Girl on the Train delivered the goods. My prediction was waaay off though, like, it wasn't even close. I predicted $14 million for the film, which I thought was fair as I had never even heard of the book or even knew that it had such a large following. The Girl on the Train brought in a healthy $24.5 million on its first weekend and I'm honestly happy to have been proven wrong on this one.
The Birth of a Nation (Fox)
Predicted: $11 million
Actual: $7 million
Yeah, not exactly close on this one either. I mean, I thought this would do well seeing as how it deals with a hot-button issue but I guess the controversy surrounding the director got the best of the film. I've heard it's a good film though so I expect it to have some decent legs in the long run. The film brought in $7 million this weekend, and if all goes well, should muscle its way to around $25 million domestically.
Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life (Lionsgate)
Predicted: $6 million
Actual: $6.9 million
Almost right on the money for this one. It's about damn time, too. I haven't had a hit in around two weeks so it's nice to get at least on of these suckers. Middle School didn't have much hype surrounding it and with kids being more focused on school and with Storks being a bigger draw for families, I figured this film wouldn't garner too much attention. I was right. The film brought in $6.9 million for the weekend which was less than a million off from my prediction of $6 million. The film was decently received, so it may find itself in the $20 million ballpark by the time it's done here in the states.
Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children held up pretty well considering all of the competition. Tim Burton's latest dropped a reasonable 48%, bringing in around $15 million for the weekend. The film currently stands at $51 million domestically and I would guess that it ends up around the $85 million mark by the end of its run. Deepwater Horizon only dropped 43% this week, bringing in around $11.5 million for a running total of $38 million. The film is stabilizing nicely and might be able to push its way to around $60 million. That said, it's still going to need a lot of help from overseas audiences to make it a profitable endeavor. Masterminds also had a pretty small drop, though it's almost irrelevant because it's opening was so small in the first place. The film dropped 37% and brought in $4 million for the weekend. The comedy is currently at $13 million domestically as it aims for a $20+ million final total.
The Top Ten:
1. The Girl on the Train - $24 million
2. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children - $15 million (-48%)
3. Deepwater Horizon - $11.5 million (-43%)
4. The Magnificent Seven - $9 million (-42%)
5. Storks - $8 million (-39%)|
6. The Birth of a Nation - $7 million
7. Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life $7 million
8. Sully - $5 million (-39%)
9. Masterminds - $4 million (-39%)
10. Queen of Katwe - $1.6 million (-35%)
That's it for this week. Be sure to check back on Wednesday when I'll be predicting the box office prospects of the Ben Affleck starrer The Accountant, Max Steel and Kevin Hart: What Now?.
Source: Box Office Mojo